Crustal unloading as a source of induced seismicity in Plainfield, Connecticut

Abstract

On January 12, 2015, a magnitude 3.1 mainshock occurred in Plainfield, Connecticut near Wauregan Tilcon Quarry, causing modified Mercalli II-IV intensities. Shortly after the event, a team from Weston Observatory installed portable seismographs in the epicentral area. The portable array detected hundreds of small earthquakes from around the quarry, with 26 events that were accurately located. P-wave first motion directions obtained from readings of the mainshock suggest a thrusting focal mechanism on a NNE-SSW trending fault. In this research, we collected 113 gravity measurements in the proximity of the quarry to verify and correct local fault geometry proposed by historic aeromagnetic and geologic mapping. Interpretations of the computed simple Bouguer anomaly are consistent with historic mapping, with a few exceptions. The gravity survey constrains a NNE-SSW trending fault that dips west underneath the quarry, inferred to be the Lake Char-Honey Hill Fault, and reduces ambiguity in the position of an undefined ESE-WNW trending fault, which appears to be on strike to intersect the quarry. A 3D boundary element program (3D~Def) is used to simulate quarry-induced stress changes on these faults in order to analyze the possibility of inducing seismicity through crustal unloading in the region. Quarry operations resulted in the removal of mass from the crust, which decreased lithostatic load. In a setting confined by a maximum horizontal compressional stress, decreasing the lithostatic load, orminimum principal stress (σ3), shifts a Mohr-Coulomb diagram toward failure. The boundary element model shows that following the excavation of materials at the quarry, positive Coulomb failure stress changes occur on the west dipping Lake Char-Honey Hill Fault. In agreement with past studies, our results suggest that quarrying operations can trigger seismic activity in specific settings with stress regime, fault orientations, and rock characteristics such as those that exist in the northeastern U.S. In order to mitigate the risk for future earthquakes related to quarrying operations, these factors must be considered before operations begin.